Bohemians vs Bohemians 1905 Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Bohemians a 45% home win probability and the draw the same 45%, leaving Bohemians 1905 with only 10%, which is why the advice is a double chance on Bohemians or draw rather than a straight home win. That caution is consistent with the comparison metrics, where the home side leads on form (59.00 to 41.00), attack (63.00 to 37.00), defence (60.00 to 40.00) and Poisson (53.00 to 47.00), but the Poisson gap is the narrowest of those, hinting the underlying model sees a closer contest than the form and attack splits suggest. The head-to-head, goals and total comparison fields are all populated with zeros, so they carry no separating information here, and the head-to-head record section is empty, meaning there is no historical meeting data to reinforce or contradict the probabilities. Bohemians' six-match profile of three wins, two draws and one loss, with 13 goals scored at 2.20 per game and only seven conceded at 1.20, supports the stronger side of the double chance, and their last five show four wins and a draw, including a 5-3 home win over Derry City and a 3-0 home win over Sligo Rovers. However, Bohemians have kept no clean sheets in six matches and failed to score once, so the defensive numbers are more about limiting damage than shutting opponents out. Bohemians 1905 present a conflicting picture: their overall form string of WWWDWLLW across eight games produced five wins, but four of their last five were away and they lost two of those, including a 3-0 defeat at Sigma Olomouc and a 1-2 loss at Pardubice. Their goals analysis shows a heavier 1.90 scored and 1.60 conceded per game, with 14 of 15 goals coming away from home and a pronounced late-scoring pattern of 43.75% in the 76-90 minute window, which suggests they can stay in games but also concede late pressure. The small samples matter: Bohemians' six matches and Bohemians 1905's eight, plus a last-five set that is not evenly split by venue, mean the 45-45-10 split should be read as a soft lean rather than a firm edge. Taken together, the evidence supports the double chance as a way of covering the draw that the model rates as equally likely to a home win, while the away side's away-heavy schedule and leaky away defence keep a narrow upset possible.

Predicted winner

Bohemians

Betting advice

Double chance : Bohemians or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.