Bogota FC vs Envigado Prediction
· Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Envigado
Match prediction
- Envigado's stronger form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the model's 45% away win probability and the double-chance advice.
- Bogota's 10% win probability reflects a home side with more losses than wins and only five home victories across fifteen matches.
- The draw carries equal 45% probability, consistent with Envigado's recent run of four draws in five and Bogota's ten drawn games.
- Envigado's away scoring average of 1.50 against Bogota's 0.80 total output tilts the attacking edge clearly toward the visitors.
- Bogota's perfect head-to-head record is a single match, too small a sample to outweigh Envigado's broader statistical superiority.
- Both sides' low-scoring profiles and Envigado's fifteen clean sheets suggest the draw component of the advice remains a genuine hedge.
- Predicted winner
- Envigado
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Envigado
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Bogota FC | Envigado |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 41.2% | 58.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Bogota FC
Recent form: DLDLWWWDLDLWDWWDLLDLDWDLLWLLDWL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Envigado
Recent form: WWDLLWWWDLWWLWWLWDDWWWDWDLLLDDDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Envigado 1–2 Bogota FC (25 Mar 2026)