Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina
Boca Juniors vs Union Santa Fe Prediction
· Estadio Alberto J. Armando
Match prediction
- Boca's equal home and draw probabilities reflect a low-loss profile, with only one home defeat and six home draws across thirteen matches.
- Union's attack rating exceeds Boca's, but their zero away clean sheets and five away scoreless games undercut that threat.
- Boca's defensive strength, conceding just 0.60 goals per home game, supports the draw-inclusive advice against Union's leaky away defence.
- Recent form favours Boca with four wins in five, while Union lost two of their last three before this fixture.
- Head-to-head history is balanced at fifty percent, yet five of the last ten meetings ended level, reinforcing draw coverage.
- Boca's low-scoring home matches, mostly under 2.5 goals, suggest a tight contest where avoiding defeat is the safer outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Boca Juniors
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Boca Juniors or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Boca Juniors | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Attack | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Defence | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Poisson | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 55.2% | 44.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Boca Juniors
Recent form: WLWLDDDWDDWWDWWWLLDWDDDWDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Union Santa Fe
Recent form: DLWLDWWWDDLWLLDDWLDLWLLWWWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Union Santa Fe 1–1 Boca Juniors (16 Mar 2026)
- Boca Juniors 1–1 Union Santa Fe (19 Jul 2025)
- Union Santa Fe 1–1 Boca Juniors (29 Jan 2025)
- Boca Juniors 1–0 Union Santa Fe (21 Nov 2024)
- Union Santa Fe 1–0 Boca Juniors (06 Mar 2024)