Blaublitz Akita vs Sagan Tosu Prediction
· Soyu Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the absence of a clear favorite reflects genuine uncertainty.
- Blaublitz Akita's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings support the home side, but Sagan Tosu's perfect head-to-head record is a meaningful counterweight.
- Sagan Tosu's away record is the key qualifier: no wins, three scoreless defeats in four, and a 0.50 away goals average undercut their head-to-head edge.
- Akita's home profile is solid rather than dominant, with two wins, two draws and one loss, so the draw component of the advice carries real weight.
- Both teams' goal data point to a low-scoring contest, with Akita averaging 1.40 and Tosu 1.00, reinforcing caution rather than a decisive home win.
- Tosu's recent form of one win and four losses, including three straight away defeats, makes the away win probability of 10% plausible.
- Predicted winner
- Blaublitz Akita
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Blaublitz Akita or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Blaublitz Akita | Sagan Tosu |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 58.0% | 42.0% |
| Defence | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 72.0% | 28.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Total | 55.4% | 44.6% |
Team form and goal analysis
Blaublitz Akita
Recent form: DLWLDWDD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Sagan Tosu
Recent form: WDLDWLLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sagan Tosu 1–0 Blaublitz Akita (18 Oct 2025)
- Blaublitz Akita 1–2 Sagan Tosu (17 May 2025)


