Blansko vs Hranice Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Hranice a double-chance edge of draw or away at 45% each, leaving Blansko a modest 10% home win probability, and the comparison metrics broadly reinforce that lean through form (67 vs 33) and defence (71 vs 29), with the Poisson split identical at 71 to 29. That defensive gap is the clearest separator: Hranice concede only 0.90 goals per game overall and 0.50 away, while Blansko ship 2.70 per game and 3.20 on their travels, which helps explain why the model resists a home win despite Blansko's attacking metric of 58 versus 42. Blansko's form string of DDLLLDLDW and a single win in nine matches, with no home wins and three home draws, points to a side that struggles to convert territory into results, whereas Hranice's LLLWWLWWD shows four wins and a more functional if inconsistent profile. The last-five records sharpen this: Blansko have one win, two draws and two defeats including a 5-3 away win at Karviná II but also 0-4 losses, while Hranice have three wins, one draw and one loss, all four of those positive results arriving by a single goal or a 1-1 draw. Hranice's away scoring average of just 0.50 goals per game is a genuine counterweight to their defensive strength, and their 1-0 wins at Hodonín and Polanka nad Odrou suggest narrow margins rather than dominance, which is consistent with a draw being as likely as an away win. The head-to-head record is unusually balanced at 50-50 and offers little separation, with the last two meetings both finishing 2-2 and three of the seven listed fixtures drawn, though Blansko did win 2-1 at this venue in April 2024. Goals analysis adds a further qualifier: Blansko's matches average 4.30 total goals against Hranice's 2.10, and Blansko have seen over 2.5 goals in six of nine while Hranice have kept four clean sheets, so the game could be low-scoring if Hranice's defence holds or open if Blansko's leaky back line is exposed. The 45% draw probability is therefore well supported by the head-to-head parity, Hranice's narrow winning margins and Blansko's habit of drawing at home, while the away side of the double chance rests on Hranice's superior defence and form rather than any attacking superiority. Overall the evidence coheres around a cautious draw-or-Hranice position, but the small samples, Hranice's weak away scoring and Blansko's occasional high-scoring win mean the 10% home probability should not be treated as negligible.

Predicted winner

Hranice

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Hranice

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Hranice 2–2 Blansko (03 Apr 2026)
2. Blansko 2–2 Hranice (30 Aug 2025)
3. Blansko 2–1 Hranice (13 Apr 2024)
4. Hranice 2–1 Blansko (08 Sep 2023)
5. Hranice 1–1 Blansko (09 May 2023)