NB III - Northwest · Hungary
Bicskei vs Komárom Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model gives Bicskei a 35% home win and 35% draw against Komárom's 30%, so the "Bicskei or draw" double chance reflects a genuinely close, slightly home-leaning contest rather than a clear favourite. That narrow edge is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Bicskei dominates form (71 vs 29) and attack (74 vs 26), and leads the Poisson projection 55 to 45, while Komárom's only clear advantage is the head-to-head score at 60 to 40. The goals and total metrics are far tighter, however, with goals at 48 versus 52 and the overall total at 54.3 versus 45.7, which suggests the model's confidence rests more on recent form than on scoring output. Bicskei's team analysis supports that form reading: five wins from eight with no draws, a three-game losing streak already behind them, and a current run of five straight victories in the last-five list, including 2-0 and 1-0 away wins and a 4-2 home success. Komárom's profile is noticeably more mixed, with three wins, three draws and two losses, and a last-five sequence of two draws and three defeats that includes just one goal scored across their three most recent away matches. The goals analysis sharpens the contrast, as Bicskei average 2.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded, while Komárom average only 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded, meaning Bicskei carry the greater attacking threat but also the leakier defence. Komárom's defensive solidity is a real qualifier to the advice, since they have kept the scoreline to one goal or fewer against them in six of eight matches and have never conceded more than two in a game. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight, with Komárom winning four of the last ten meetings and Bicskei only three, including Komárom's 4-3 home win in May 2026 and a 4-2 away win at Bicskei in October 2025. That said, the most recent head-to-head results are split and several older meetings were draws, so the 60-40 split may overstate Komárom's current edge given their poor recent form. Overall, the evidence points to a close match in which Bicskei's form and attack justify the double-chance advice, but Komárom's defensive record and superior head-to-head history mean the draw component is doing meaningful work in that recommendation.
- Predicted winner
- Bicskei
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Bicskei or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Bicskei | Komárom |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Attack | 74.0% | 26.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Poisson | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Bicskei
Recent form: WLLLWWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.40 per match.
Komárom
Recent form: DWWWLDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Komárom 4–3 Bicskei (03 May 2026)
- Bicskei 2–4 Komárom (19 Oct 2025)
- Bicskei 0–2 Komárom (16 Mar 2025)
- Komárom 0–2 Bicskei (28 Aug 2024)
- Bicskei 3–1 Komárom (05 May 2024)


