Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Bezana vs Vimenor Prediction

Bezana badgeBezana vs Vimenor badgeVimenor

Match prediction

  • Bezana's perfect four-win start and superior attack rating justify backing them, though the model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities make the double chance the safer expression.
  • Vimenor's unbeaten record and stronger defensive rating keep them competitive, explaining why the model assigns a meaningful 30% away probability rather than dismissing them.
  • The Poisson split favouring Vimenor conflicts with Bezana's form and head-to-head edge, which is why the advice avoids a straight home win.
  • Bezana's two away clean sheets and Vimenor's low goals-against average suggest a tight contest, supporting the draw component of the double chance.
  • Recent head-to-head results are balanced with both wins and draws, reinforcing that neither side dominates enough to justify a single-outcome bet.
  • Vimenor's habit of scoring in the 31st to 60th minute range could trouble Bezana, so the draw leg meaningfully hedges the home prediction.
Predicted winner
Bezana
Betting advice
Double chance : Bezana or draw
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorBezanaVimenor
Form55.0%45.0%
Attack59.0%41.0%
Defence40.0%60.0%
Poisson26.0%74.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals56.0%44.0%
Total49.7%50.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Bezana

Recent form: WWWW.

Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.

Vimenor

Recent form: WWWD.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Vimenor 1–0 Bezana (14 Feb 2026)
  2. Bezana 0–0 Vimenor (04 Oct 2025)
  3. Bezana 2–1 Vimenor (22 Feb 2025)
  4. Vimenor 2–3 Bezana (12 Oct 2024)
  5. Bezana 0–0 Vimenor (17 Feb 2024)
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