Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Vimenor Prediction
Match prediction
- Bezana's perfect four-win start and superior attack rating justify backing them, though the model's equal 35% home and draw probabilities make the double chance the safer expression.
- Vimenor's unbeaten record and stronger defensive rating keep them competitive, explaining why the model assigns a meaningful 30% away probability rather than dismissing them.
- The Poisson split favouring Vimenor conflicts with Bezana's form and head-to-head edge, which is why the advice avoids a straight home win.
- Bezana's two away clean sheets and Vimenor's low goals-against average suggest a tight contest, supporting the draw component of the double chance.
- Recent head-to-head results are balanced with both wins and draws, reinforcing that neither side dominates enough to justify a single-outcome bet.
- Vimenor's habit of scoring in the 31st to 60th minute range could trouble Bezana, so the draw leg meaningfully hedges the home prediction.
- Predicted winner
- Bezana
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Bezana or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Bezana | Vimenor |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Attack | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Defence | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Poisson | 26.0% | 74.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Total | 49.7% | 50.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Bezana
Recent form: WWWW.
Average goals scored: 2.50 per match.
Vimenor
Recent form: WWWD.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Vimenor 1–0 Bezana (14 Feb 2026)
- Bezana 0–0 Vimenor (04 Oct 2025)
- Bezana 2–1 Vimenor (22 Feb 2025)
- Vimenor 2–3 Bezana (12 Oct 2024)
- Bezana 0–0 Vimenor (17 Feb 2024)


