Turkey · 3. Lig - Group 1

Beykoz Anadolu vs Gölcükspor Prediction

Beykoz Anadolu badgeBeykoz Anadolu vs Gölcükspor badgeGölcükspor

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of its uncertainty, since a single winner carries no real edge.
  • Beykoz Anadolu's attack and form scores sit far below Golcukspor's, supporting the away side's inclusion despite home advantage.
  • Beykoz's four-match winless run with three failures to score suggests their low 10% win probability reflects genuine scoring limitations rather than mere model caution.
  • Golcukspor's defensive edge is offset by two missed penalties and away-form losses, which explains why the model stops short of backing them outright.
  • Both head-to-head meetings and the goals comparison split evenly, so historical and scoring evidence offer no basis for separating these teams.
  • With neither side showing reliable scoring output, the draw component of the advice gains support from the balanced Poisson and goals figures.
Predicted winner
Gölcükspor
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Gölcükspor
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorBeykoz AnadoluGölcükspor
Form33.0%67.0%
Attack29.0%71.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson49.0%51.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total44.5%55.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Beykoz Anadolu

Recent form: LLDD.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Gölcükspor

Recent form: LWDL.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Beykoz Anadolu 3–1 Gölcükspor (02 Feb 2014)
  2. Gölcükspor 2–0 Beykoz Anadolu (15 Sep 2013)
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