Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Sopoti Librazhd Prediction

Match prediction

• The model rates Sopoti Librazhd and the draw equally at 45%, leaving only a 10% home win, which explains why the advice protects the draw rather than backing an outright away win.
• Head-to-head is split 50-50 across five meetings, so the near-equal away and draw probabilities reflect genuine historical balance rather than a clear Sopoti edge.
• Sopoti's recent form includes a three-goal away win and three draws, while the hosts have lost twice, supporting the away side's higher overall goal share.
• The hosts' last five show two defeats and only one win, a weaker recent profile that justifies keeping Besëlidhja's win probability at just 10%.
• Both teams' season-level form, attack, defence and Poisson metrics are all zero, so the prediction leans on recent results and head-to-head rather than season aggregates.
• With the draw and away win combined at 90%, the double chance advice is the model's way of covering the two outcomes its probabilities actually favour.

Predicted winner

Sopoti Librazhd

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Sopoti Librazhd

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Besëlidhja Lezhë 1–1 Sopoti Librazhd (26 Mar 2025)
2. Sopoti Librazhd 4–1 Besëlidhja Lezhë (02 Dec 2024)
3. Besëlidhja Lezhë 0–2 Sopoti Librazhd (09 May 2024)
4. Besëlidhja Lezhë 1–0 Sopoti Librazhd (16 Mar 2024)
5. Sopoti Librazhd 1–2 Besëlidhja Lezhë (06 Nov 2023)