Oberliga - Niedersachsen · Germany
Bersenbrück vs Germania Egestorf Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Bersenbrück with a win-or-draw call and a +1.5 goals combo, yet its own probabilities split 50% home and 50% draw with 0% away, which is a cautious rather than emphatic endorsement. That caution is echoed in the comparison metrics, where Bersenbrück leads across form (69 vs 31), attack (65 vs 35), defence (64 vs 36), Poisson (66 vs 34), head-to-head (62 vs 38), goals (62 vs 38) and total (64.7 vs 35.3), but never by a margin that eliminates Germania Egestorf. Bersenbrück's season profile of three wins, one draw and three losses from seven, with a three-match losing streak followed by three straight wins, suggests a team in recovery rather than settled dominance. Germania Egestorf's single win, two draws and four defeats, including an 8-1 away loss and a 3-0 home defeat, point to a side that struggles defensively, conceding 3.00 goals per game overall and 4.30 per away match. The goals analysis reinforces the +1.5 component, since Bersenbrück have seen over 1.5 goals in three of seven and Germania Egestorf in three of seven, while both teams' defensive records show frequent concessions. Recent form supports Bersenbrück more strongly: they won their last three, scoring 3-0, 2-1 and 5-0, whereas Germania Egestorf's last five read one win, one draw and three losses, including a 3-1 win over Meppen II but also a 0-3 home loss. The head-to-head record complicates a simple home narrative, as the last two meetings were away wins for Bersenbrück (3-2 at Hasestadion) and for Germania Egestorf (4-1 at Joyetech-Arena), with two 1-1 and 0-0 draws before that. Overall, the evidence supports the double-chance and goals advice through Bersenbrück's superior form and Germania Egestorf's leaky defence, but the 0% away probability and the head-to-head's away-win pattern mean the prediction should be treated as a lean rather than a certainty.
- Predicted winner
- Bersenbrück
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Bersenbrück or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Bersenbrück | Germania Egestorf |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Attack | 65.0% | 35.0% |
| Defence | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Poisson | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 64.7% | 35.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Bersenbrück
Recent form: DLLLWWW.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Germania Egestorf
Recent form: DLLDLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bersenbrück 2–3 Germania Egestorf (10 May 2026)
- Germania Egestorf 1–4 Bersenbrück (09 Nov 2025)
- Bersenbrück 1–1 Germania Egestorf (18 May 2025)
- Germania Egestorf 0–0 Bersenbrück (10 Nov 2024)
- Bersenbrück 1–0 Germania Egestorf (20 May 2024)


