Second League · Bulgaria
Beroe vs Yantra 2019 Prediction
· Stadion Beroe
Beroe vs
Yantra 2019
Match prediction
The existing model gives Beroe a 45% home win and 45% draw probability, leaving Yantra 2019 only 10%, which frames the double-chance advice of “Beroe or draw” as a cautious but coherent reading of the fixture. That caution is supported by the comparison metrics, where Beroe leads on attack (57 vs 43), defence (33 vs 67), Poisson (91 vs 9), head-to-head (64 vs 36), goals (57 vs 43) and total (58 vs 42), yet trails on form (46 vs 54), so the model is balancing a strong statistical profile against Yantra’s slightly better recent form. Beroe’s team analysis explains the defensive edge: across 10 matches they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with all 4 wins and 4 clean sheets coming at home, while away they have 0 wins and have conceded 11 of their 12 goals. Yantra’s profile is more mixed, with 5 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, but their away record is weak (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses) and they have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches. The goals analysis reinforces the home-side tilt, as Beroe average 1.50 goals for and 1.20 against overall, with a notably low 0.20 goals-against average at home, whereas Yantra average 1.20 for and 1.00 against but only 0.80 goals for away. Both teams’ goal distributions lean toward late goals, with Beroe scoring 26.67% of their goals in the 76-90 minute window and Yantra conceding 40% in the 61-75 window, which could matter if the match stays tight. The last-five records add a conflicting signal: Beroe have three draws, one win and one loss (including a 3-4 defeat at Nesebar), while Yantra have two wins, one draw and two losses, though both of Yantra’s recent defeats were without scoring. The head-to-head record is entirely friendly matches and therefore a small, low-stakes sample, showing four draws and one Beroe win, with the most recent meeting in January 2026 finishing 1-1. Overall, the evidence supports the existing double-chance advice because Beroe’s home defence and Yantra’s away scoring limitations align with the 45% draw and 45% home-win probabilities, but the friendly-only head-to-head and Yantra’s better form score mean the 10% away probability should not be treated as a guarantee.
- Predicted winner
- Beroe
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Beroe or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Beroe | Yantra 2019 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Attack | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Defence | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Poisson | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| H2h | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Goals | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Beroe
Recent form: WLWLWDDDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Yantra 2019
Recent form: LLWWWDWWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Beroe 1–1 Yantra 2019 (21 Jan 2026)
- Beroe 0–0 Yantra 2019 (03 Feb 2023)
- Beroe 1–1 Yantra 2019 (18 Nov 2022)
- Beroe 1–0 Yantra 2019 (28 Jun 2022)
- Beroe 1–1 Yantra 2019 (25 Jun 2021)
