Regionalliga - West · Germany

Bergisch Gladbach vs Westfalia Rhynern Prediction

Bergisch Gladbach badgeBergisch Gladbach vs Westfalia Rhynern badgeWestfalia Rhynern

Final result: Bergisch Gladbach 4–2 Westfalia Rhynern (Match Finished)

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Westfalia Rhynern with a double-chance call of draw or away, assigning 45% to the draw and 45% to an away win while leaving Bergisch Gladbach at just 10%, so the advice is essentially a bet against a home victory rather than a strong single-outcome pick. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where the two sides are level on form at 50.00, but Rhynern edges ahead on attack (56.00 versus 44.00) and the Poisson calculation is far more decisive at 65.00 against 35.00. Bergisch Gladbach's defensive score of 56.00 is nominally the better of the two defensive ratings, which slightly qualifies the away lean, yet the goals data shows the hosts conceding 2.00 per home match against Rhynern's 1.80 overall, so that defensive edge looks fragile. The season records tell a similar story: both teams have played nine, but Rhynern have five wins and only two defeats compared with Gladbach's four wins and four losses, and Rhynern have avoided defeat entirely at home across five fixtures. Gladbach's form string of DWLLLWWWL is volatile, including a 0-4 home loss to Rot-weiss Oberhausen, while Rhynern's WWDDLWWLW is steadier and they have failed to score in none of their nine matches. The last-five records sharpen this: Gladbach have won three of five but were beaten 3-2 at Bonner SC most recently, whereas Rhynern have also won three of five, with their two defeats both coming away from home, which is a mild concern given this fixture is at Gladbach. In the goals analysis, Rhynern's 1.90 goals per game and Gladbach's 1.40 suggest the visitors carry more attacking threat, and both teams concede at 1.80 on average, pointing to a relatively open contest rather than a clean-sheet scenario. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical meetings can be used to support or contradict the model, and the goals comparison fields for both sides are recorded as 0.00, meaning those particular metrics add no information here. Overall, the probabilities, Poisson split, attacking comparison and season records align behind the draw-or-away advice, while the hosts' marginally better defensive rating and Rhynern's away defeats are the main counterweights that keep this from being a confident away-only prediction.

Predicted winner
Westfalia Rhynern
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Westfalia Rhynern
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorBergisch GladbachWestfalia Rhynern
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack44.0%56.0%
Defence56.0%44.0%
Poisson35.0%65.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total46.3%53.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Bergisch Gladbach

Recent form: DWLLLWWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.

Westfalia Rhynern

Recent form: WWDDLWWLW.

Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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