3. liga - CFL A · Czech-Republic
Benešov vs Slavia III Prediction
· Football Pitch Benesov
Final result: Benešov 0–2 Slavia III (Match Finished)
Match prediction
The existing model gives Benešov a 45% home win probability and the draw another 45%, leaving Slavia III at just 10%, which frames the advice of a double chance on Benešov or draw as a cautious lean rather than a strong home endorsement. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Benešov leads on form (60.00 vs 40.00), attack (60.00 vs 40.00) and defence (53.00 vs 47.00), yet the Poisson measure flips sharply to Slavia III at 63.00 against 37.00, suggesting the underlying goal model sees a much tighter or even away-favoured contest. The aggregate totals are nearly level at 52.50 for Benešov and 47.50 for Slavia III, so the home edge is marginal rather than decisive, and the head-to-head, goals and h2h comparison fields are all recorded as 0.00, meaning those specific inputs contribute no separating signal. Benešov's seven-match record of one win, four draws and two losses, with a form string of DLWDDLD, shows a side that is hard to beat but rarely converts control into victories, and their home split of one win, two draws and one loss fits the draw-heavy profile behind the 45% draw probability. Their goals analysis adds nuance: they average 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded overall, and their 10 goals against include 40% arriving in the opening 15 minutes, a vulnerability that could undermine the double chance if Slavia III start quickly. Slavia III's record of two wins, two draws and three losses from seven, with form WDLLDWL, is slightly more volatile, and their away numbers are notably better than their home numbers, with 1.30 goals scored and only 1.00 conceded per away match compared with 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded at home. Their last five results capture that inconsistency: a 0-2 home loss to Jiskra Domažlice, a 3-1 away win at Aritma Praha, a 1-1 home draw with Písek, a 1-2 away loss at Dukla Praha II and a 1-4 home defeat to Viktoria Plzeň II, a sequence that supports the low 10% away win probability while still showing they can score on the road. Benešov's last five are similarly draw-weighted, with 1-1 at Motorlet Praha, a 2-4 home loss to Králův Dvůr, 2-2 at Loko Vltavín, 1-1 at home to Sparta Praha II and a 3-1 home win over Povltava FA, so three draws in five matches explain why the model splits its probability almost evenly between a home win and a draw. The head-to-head section is empty, so no historical fixture evidence is available to confirm or contradict the pattern, and the goals and h2h comparison values of 0.00 should be read as absent data rather than as genuine parity. Overall, the form, attack and defensive metrics point mildly toward Benešov avoiding defeat, but the Poisson disagreement, the missing head-to-head record and both teams' tendency toward low-scoring, draw-prone matches mean the double chance is a reasonable but far from certain reading of the evidence.
- Predicted winner
- Benešov
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Benešov or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Benešov | Slavia III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Poisson | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 52.5% | 47.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Benešov
Recent form: DLWDDLD.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Slavia III
Recent form: WDLLDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


