Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

Bembibre vs La Virgen del Camino Prediction

Bembibre badgeBembibre vs La Virgen del Camino badgeLa Virgen del Camino

Match prediction

  • La Virgen del Camino's superior form, attack, defence and head-to-head metrics support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the win is far from certain.
  • Bembibre's home record without a win, combined with failing to score at home, weakens their case despite two away victories this season.
  • La Virgen del Camino's three wins in four, including two away, contrast with Bembibre's mixed form, reinforcing the away side's edge.
  • The head-to-head record favours La Virgen del Camino, but recent meetings include draws, which justifies covering the draw in the advice.
  • Bembibre concede most goals late while La Virgen del Camino score across the match, suggesting the visitors can exploit second-half gaps.
  • The low home goal output and modest totals point to a tight, low-scoring game, making the draw-or-away double chance the safer play.
Predicted winner
La Virgen del Camino
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or La Virgen del Camino
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorBembibreLa Virgen del Camino
Form44.0%56.0%
Attack42.0%58.0%
Defence43.0%57.0%
Poisson9.0%91.0%
H2h25.0%75.0%
Goals33.0%67.0%
Total32.7%67.3%

Team form and goal analysis

Bembibre

Recent form: WDLW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

La Virgen del Camino

Recent form: WWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. La Virgen del Camino 3–1 Bembibre (05 Apr 2026)
  2. Bembibre 1–2 La Virgen del Camino (23 Nov 2025)
  3. La Virgen del Camino 0–0 Bembibre (12 Apr 2025)
  4. Bembibre 0–0 La Virgen del Camino (24 Nov 2024)
  5. La Virgen del Camino 1–1 Bembibre (01 May 2024)
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