Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre vs La Virgen del Camino Prediction
Match prediction
- La Virgen del Camino's superior form, attack, defence and head-to-head metrics support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal 45% draw and away probabilities show the win is far from certain.
- Bembibre's home record without a win, combined with failing to score at home, weakens their case despite two away victories this season.
- La Virgen del Camino's three wins in four, including two away, contrast with Bembibre's mixed form, reinforcing the away side's edge.
- The head-to-head record favours La Virgen del Camino, but recent meetings include draws, which justifies covering the draw in the advice.
- Bembibre concede most goals late while La Virgen del Camino score across the match, suggesting the visitors can exploit second-half gaps.
- The low home goal output and modest totals point to a tight, low-scoring game, making the draw-or-away double chance the safer play.
- Predicted winner
- La Virgen del Camino
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or La Virgen del Camino
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Bembibre | La Virgen del Camino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Poisson | 9.0% | 91.0% |
| H2h | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Goals | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Total | 32.7% | 67.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Bembibre
Recent form: WDLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
La Virgen del Camino
Recent form: WWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- La Virgen del Camino 3–1 Bembibre (05 Apr 2026)
- Bembibre 1–2 La Virgen del Camino (23 Nov 2025)
- La Virgen del Camino 0–0 Bembibre (12 Apr 2025)
- Bembibre 0–0 La Virgen del Camino (24 Nov 2024)
- La Virgen del Camino 1–1 Bembibre (01 May 2024)


