Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion
Bellinzona vs Zürich II Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a marginal Bellinzona edge.
- Bellinzona's superior form and head-to-head scores outweigh Zürich II's stronger attack and Poisson ratings, supporting the cautious home-leaning advice.
- Both sides concede two goals per game on average, so the +1.5 goals component rests on a broad defensive pattern rather than a small sample.
- Bellinzona's away scoring collapse, one goal in five road matches, explains why the model stops short of backing an outright home win.
- Zürich II's late-game scoring and conceding concentration suggests goals are likely, reinforcing the over 1.5 element of the combination.
- Head-to-head history is dated and low-scoring, so it supports Bellinzona's edge but tempers confidence in a high-scoring outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Bellinzona
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Bellinzona or draw and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Bellinzona | Zürich II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Attack | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Defence | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| Poisson | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Bellinzona
Recent form: LLLLDLWLD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Zürich II
Recent form: LDWWWLLDL.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bellinzona 1–0 Zürich II (07 May 2022)
- Zürich II 0–0 Bellinzona (12 Mar 2022)
- Bellinzona 1–0 Zürich II (18 Sep 2021)
- Zürich II 3–0 Bellinzona (01 May 2021)
- Zürich II —–— Bellinzona (18 Apr 2021)