Belgrano Córdoba Res. vs San Martín San Juan Res. Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONWinner : Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home win probability sits level with the draw, so the winner advice carries real uncertainty despite Belgrano's clear statistical edge.
- Belgrano's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings align with their stronger season record, supporting the home-winner advice.
- San Martín's away defence concedes 3.90 goals per game, a weakness that materially strengthens Belgrano's attacking case.
- Identical 50-50 defence ratings and a 100% away head-to-head record are the main counterweights tempering confidence in the home pick.
- San Martín's last five produced one goal and four defeats, suggesting their poor form is current rather than historical noise.
- Belgrano's home record of eight wins against two losses reinforces the venue advantage behind the existing prediction.
- Predicted winner
- Belgrano Córdoba Res.
- Betting advice
- Winner : Belgrano Córdoba Res.
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Belgrano Córdoba Res. | San Martín San Juan Res. |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| Attack | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 84.0% | 16.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 76.2% | 23.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Belgrano Córdoba Res.
Recent form: DLLDLLWWLWWWWLWWDLDLWWDWLWWDD.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
San Martín San Juan Res.
Recent form: LLLLWLLLWLLLDLDLLLDDLDWWLDLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- San Martín San Juan Res. 1–2 Belgrano Córdoba Res. (07 May 2026)