Belchite 97 vs Illueca Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model leans toward Belchite 97 as the winner, yet its 45% home probability is matched by a 45% draw probability and only a 10% away chance, so the advice is better read as a narrow edge over the draw than as a clear superiority. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Belchite's maximum form, attack and Poisson scores contrast with Illueca's zeros, but defence is level at 50.00 each and head-to-head is split 50/50, while the goals and total indices actually tilt toward Illueca at 60.00 versus 40.00 and 53.30 versus 46.70. The team analysis explains part of this tension: Belchite's DLL form over three matches includes one home draw and two away defeats, with a 4-0 loss at Almudévar as the low point, whereas Illueca's LLL record covers three straight losses and no goals scored at all. Illueca's goal data is stark, showing zero goals for across three games and seven conceded, an average of 2.30 against per match, with 57.14% of those concessions arriving between minutes 61 and 75. Belchite are hardly prolific either, with two goals in three games and a 0.70 average, and their seven conceded also average 2.30, so the fixture profiles as low-scoring rather than one-sided. The last-five records add a longer view: Belchite's sequence includes a 4-0 win at Zuera and two 1-1 draws alongside the recent defeats, while Illueca's includes a 1-0 win at CDJ Tamarite and a 2-3 home loss, suggesting both teams' current three-game samples may overstate their weakness or strength. The head-to-head record is the strongest counterweight to the home advice, since Illueca won the two most recent meetings 1-0 away and 1-0 at home, and Belchite have not beaten them in the last ten listed encounters, which featured four draws and several Illueca wins. Overall, the evidence supports a modest home lean based on Illueca's inability to score, but the level draw probability, split head-to-head and Illueca's historical edge mean the prediction carries real uncertainty rather than a confident winner.

Predicted winner

Belchite 97

Betting advice

Winner : Belchite 97

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

—

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Illueca 0–1 Belchite 97 (01 Feb 2026)
2. Belchite 97 0–1 Illueca (21 Sep 2025)
3. Illueca 1–2 Belchite 97 (24 Mar 2024)
4. Belchite 97 1–1 Illueca (04 Nov 2023)
5. Belchite 97 0–3 Illueca (09 Jan 2022)