World · UEFA Nations League

Belarus vs Finland Prediction

OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Finland

Belarus badgeBelarus vs Finland badgeFinland

Match prediction

  • Finland's superior form, attack, and defence ratings support the model's 50% away win probability, though the equal draw share signals caution.
  • Belarus have failed to score in both away matches, a weakness Finland's unbeaten run and clean sheets could exploit.
  • The recent goalless head-to-head draw in Helsinki tempers Finland's edge, justifying the double-chance advice covering a draw.
  • Finland's seven-goal win over San Marino inflates their attacking numbers, so the 50% away probability may overstate their true dominance.
  • Belarus's home form includes a 4-0 win and clean sheet, giving them enough resilience to make the draw-or-Finland advice the safer play.
  • Finland's losses to Hungary and Germany show vulnerability against stronger sides, but Belarus's limited attack makes an upset unlikely.
Predicted winner
Finland
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Finland
Home win probability
0%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
50%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorBelarusFinland
Form36.0%64.0%
Attack31.0%69.0%
Defence33.0%67.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h20.0%80.0%
Goals0.0%100.0%
Total30.0%70.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Belarus

Recent form: LDW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Finland

Recent form: WDW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Finland 0–0 Belarus (29 Sep 2026)
  2. Finland 2–0 Belarus (09 Jun 2018)
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