Bayer Leverkusen W vs Werder Bremen W Prediction
· Ulrich-Haberland-Stadion
Match prediction
- The model rates home win at only 10%, so the double chance correctly avoids backing Leverkusen despite their strong away form.
- Werder's superior defensive score and Poisson share support the away side, though the 45% draw probability keeps the advice cautious.
- Leverkusen's five-match scoring streak and perfect away record conflict with their poor home form, explaining why the model still allows a draw.
- Head-to-head heavily favours Werder, but Leverkusen's 6-0 home win in 2025 shows this fixture can produce extreme home results.
- Both teams' recent matches mostly stayed under 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest consistent with the elevated draw probability.
- Werder's two home clean sheets contrast with Leverkusen's zero, reinforcing the defensive edge behind the away-leaning prediction.
- Predicted winner
- Werder Bremen W
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Werder Bremen W
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Bayer Leverkusen W | Werder Bremen W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 53.0% | 47.0% |
| Defence | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Poisson | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Bayer Leverkusen W
Recent form: WLWLW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Werder Bremen W
Recent form: WWLWD.
Average goals scored: 1.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Bayer Leverkusen W 1–3 Werder Bremen W (17 May 2026)
- Werder Bremen W 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen W (12 Dec 2025)
- Bayer Leverkusen W 6–0 Werder Bremen W (16 Mar 2025)
- Bayer Leverkusen W 0–1 Werder Bremen W (12 Feb 2025)
- Werder Bremen W 1–1 Bayer Leverkusen W (12 Oct 2024)