Bastia vs Orleans Prediction
· Stade Armand Cesari
Match prediction
- Bastia's stronger form and attack ratings support the double-chance advice, though the model's equal home and draw probabilities show the win is far from secure.
- Bastia's away record of three wins and three clean sheets contrasts sharply with zero home wins, undermining any home-advantage assumption behind the advice.
- Orleans' away form is more resilient than their home form, with both wins and two clean sheets coming on the road, which qualifies the draw risk.
- The head-to-head record favors Orleans, but those meetings date to 2020 and 2021, so their relevance to current form is limited.
- Both sides average only 0.80 goals per game, and neither has exceeded 2.5 goals in any match, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest.
- Orleans' defensive vulnerability at home, conceding 1.80 per game there, is less concerning away, where they concede only 0.80.
- Predicted winner
- Bastia
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Bastia or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Bastia | Orleans |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| Attack | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Defence | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Poisson | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| H2h | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Goals | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.7% |
Team form and goal analysis
Bastia
Recent form: LWLWLWDL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Orleans
Recent form: WLWLDLLD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Orleans 2–1 Bastia (29 Mar 2021)
- Bastia 1–1 Orleans (23 Oct 2020)


