Switzerland · 1. Liga Promotion
Basel II vs Luzern II Prediction
Match prediction
- Basel II's stronger recent form and attack ratings support the home side, though their poor home record of one win in four tempers that edge.
- Luzern II's away form is notably better than their home form, with both wins and their only draw coming on the road.
- The head-to-head record leans toward Basel II, but recent meetings include two draws and an away win for Luzern II, so dominance is not clear.
- The model rates home and draw equally at 45 percent, with Luzern II's win probability far lower, which explains the double-chance advice.
- Both defences rate identically, while Luzern II concede more goals on average, reinforcing the lean toward Basel II avoiding defeat.
- Luzern II's tendency to concede early and score late suggests a volatile match, supporting the draw as a meaningful part of the double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Basel II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Basel II or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Basel II | Luzern II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Basel II
Recent form: LLWLWWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Luzern II
Recent form: WLLLDLLWL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Basel II 3–2 Luzern II (18 Feb 2026)
- Luzern II 1–1 Basel II (06 Aug 2025)
- Luzern II 2–2 Basel II (15 Feb 2025)
- Basel II 1–3 Luzern II (25 Sep 2024)
- Basel II 5–1 Luzern II (17 Feb 2024)