Barycz Sułów vs Zagłębie Lubin II Prediction

Match prediction

The existing model gives Barycz Sułków a 45% home win and 45% draw probability, leaving Zagłębie Lubin II at just 10%, which frames the double-chance advice as a cautious lean toward the home side rather than a confident outright win. That caution is reinforced by the comparison metrics, where Zagłębie hold the better form score (52.00 vs 48.00) and the stronger attack rating (58.00 vs 42.00), while Barycz compensate with a much higher defence score (67.00 vs 33.00) and a Poisson edge (57.00 vs 43.00). The overall totals are nearly level at 53.50 to 46.50, so the model's preference for Barycz rests mainly on defensive solidity and the Poisson calculation rather than on any clear attacking superiority. Barycz's nine-match record of six wins, one draw and two defeats, including a four-game winning streak, shows genuine consistency, and their home form is especially strong with four wins and a draw from five, no home losses, three home clean sheets and no home blanks. Zagłębie, however, are unbeaten across nine matches with six wins and three draws, and their away record of two wins and two draws without defeat suggests the 10% away probability may understate their resilience. The goals analysis adds nuance: Barycz average 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded overall, with a notably low 0.60 conceded at home, whereas Zagłębie average 2.10 scored and 1.00 conceded, and their away scoring rate of 2.30 is higher than their home rate. Barycz's defensive record is also shaped by conceding 42.86% of their goals in the opening 15 minutes, a vulnerability that could matter against a Zagłębie side that scores 23.53% of its goals in that same window. The last-five records show Barycz winning four of five but losing their most recent outing 1-0 away to Odra Bytom Odrzański, while Zagłębie have four wins and a draw in their last five, including a 3-0 home win over Carina Gubin and a 2-2 away draw at ROW Rybnik. The head-to-head section is empty, and the goals comparison fields for both head-to-head and goals are recorded as 0.00, so no direct historical or goals-based edge between these teams can be established from the supplied evidence. Taken together, the evidence supports the double-chance advice as a reasonable hedge: Barycz's home defence and Poisson advantage justify avoiding an away bet, but Zagłębie's unbeaten run and stronger attack mean the draw component carries real weight rather than serving as a formality.

Predicted winner

Barycz Sułów

Betting advice

Double chance : Barycz Sułów or draw

Home win probability

45%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

10%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.