Barra Mansa vs Cardoso Moreira Prediction
OUR RECOMMENDATIONDouble chance : draw or Cardoso Moreira
Match prediction
- Cardoso Moreira's four wins in five, including three clean sheets, justify the model's 45% away win probability and the draw-or-away double chance.
- Barra Mansa's single win in six with a 1.70 goals-against average explains why the model assigns them only 10% to win.
- The model's equal 45% split between away win and draw reflects Cardoso Moreira's strong form against Barra Mansa's three draws in six matches.
- Barra Mansa's attack has scored just one goal per game, while Cardoso Moreira concedes only 0.40 per match, supporting the low home win probability.
- The lone head-to-head ended 2-2, a small sample that tempers any expectation of a decisive away victory despite the form gap.
- Cardoso Moreira's goals cluster late, with over 70% after the 46th minute, suggesting the double chance may hinge on a second-half breakthrough.
- Predicted winner
- Cardoso Moreira
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Cardoso Moreira
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Barra Mansa | Cardoso Moreira |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Attack | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Defence | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Poisson | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 34.5% | 65.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Barra Mansa
Recent form: DDLDWL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Cardoso Moreira
Recent form: WWWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Barra Mansa 2–2 Cardoso Moreira (03 Jul 2026)