Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan Prediction

Match prediction

• Persela's perfect three-win start, including three clean sheets, contrasts sharply with Barito's winless form, supporting the away side's edge in the model's probabilities.
• Barito's defensive record shows no clean sheets and a high goals-against average, which undermines their home advantage and reinforces the draw-or-away advice.
• The head-to-head record is balanced with recent draws and a Persela away win at this venue, supporting the double chance rather than an outright away victory.
• Barito's attack has scored consistently but their defensive vulnerability, especially late goals, suggests they can contribute to a high-scoring draw.
• Persela's away form is less dominant than their home form, with a narrow win and a loss, which justifies including the draw in the advice.
• The model's probabilities place away and draw at 45% each, reflecting the uncertainty between Persela's form and Barito's home potential, so the double chance is the safer option.

Predicted winner

Persela Lamongan

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Persela Lamongan

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Persela Lamongan 1–1 Barito Putera (25 Apr 2026)
2. Persela Lamongan 0–0 Barito Putera (11 Jan 2026)
3. Barito Putera 0–1 Persela Lamongan (18 Oct 2025)
4. Persela Lamongan 2–4 Barito Putera (18 Feb 2022)
5. Barito Putera 1–1 Persela Lamongan (29 Oct 2021)