Netherlands · Tweede Divisie

Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II Prediction

· Sports Centre de Bongerd

Barendrecht badgeBarendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II badgeSparta Rotterdam II

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the equal split signals genuine uncertainty rather than clear away superiority.
  • Barendrecht's strong home form contradicts their weak overall form, yet their zero home wins and two home defeats support the model's low 10% home win probability.
  • Sparta Rotterdam II's unbeaten away record with three wins from three away fixtures strengthens the away side of the double chance.
  • Sparta Rotterdam II's 3.00 goals-per-game average against Barendrecht's 1.70 suggests the visitors carry the greater attacking threat.
  • The head-to-head record splits evenly at 50-50, which tempers any expectation of a decisive away result and supports including the draw.
  • Barendrecht's defensive vulnerability at home, conceding two goals per game, reinforces the model's preference for the away side or draw.
Predicted winner
Sparta Rotterdam II
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Sparta Rotterdam II
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorBarendrechtSparta Rotterdam II
Form57.0%43.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson16.0%84.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals46.0%54.0%
Total46.0%54.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Barendrecht

Recent form: LWLWDDW.

Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.

Sparta Rotterdam II

Recent form: WWLDDDW.

Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sparta Rotterdam II 4–1 Barendrecht (25 Apr 2026)
  2. Barendrecht 3–2 Sparta Rotterdam II (22 Nov 2025)
  3. Sparta Rotterdam II 2–0 Barendrecht (22 Mar 2025)
  4. Barendrecht 5–3 Sparta Rotterdam II (19 Oct 2024)
  5. Barendrecht 3–3 Sparta Rotterdam II (23 Jul 2024)
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