Barendrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam II Prediction
· Sports Centre de Bongerd
Match prediction
- The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, though the equal split signals genuine uncertainty rather than clear away superiority.
- Barendrecht's strong home form contradicts their weak overall form, yet their zero home wins and two home defeats support the model's low 10% home win probability.
- Sparta Rotterdam II's unbeaten away record with three wins from three away fixtures strengthens the away side of the double chance.
- Sparta Rotterdam II's 3.00 goals-per-game average against Barendrecht's 1.70 suggests the visitors carry the greater attacking threat.
- The head-to-head record splits evenly at 50-50, which tempers any expectation of a decisive away result and supports including the draw.
- Barendrecht's defensive vulnerability at home, conceding two goals per game, reinforces the model's preference for the away side or draw.
- Predicted winner
- Sparta Rotterdam II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Sparta Rotterdam II
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Barendrecht | Sparta Rotterdam II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 57.0% | 43.0% |
| Poisson | 16.0% | 84.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Team form and goal analysis
Barendrecht
Recent form: LWLWDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.70 per match.
Sparta Rotterdam II
Recent form: WWLDDDW.
Average goals scored: 3.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sparta Rotterdam II 4–1 Barendrecht (25 Apr 2026)
- Barendrecht 3–2 Sparta Rotterdam II (22 Nov 2025)
- Sparta Rotterdam II 2–0 Barendrecht (22 Mar 2025)
- Barendrecht 5–3 Sparta Rotterdam II (19 Oct 2024)
- Barendrecht 3–3 Sparta Rotterdam II (23 Jul 2024)


