Russia · Second League - Group 2
Baltika II vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny Prediction
· Baltika Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Kosmos Dolgoprudny's 10% away win probability is the clear outlier.
- Baltika II's superior head-to-head record, including two away wins at Kosmos, supports the home side avoiding defeat despite their weaker recent form.
- Kosmos's stronger form and attack metrics conflict with the prediction, but their poor away record and zero away clean sheets weaken that counterargument.
- Both teams' low goal averages and heavy under 2.5 tendencies suggest a tight, low-scoring match, which raises draw likelihood within the double chance.
- Baltika II's perfect home scoring record, never failing to score at home, makes them hard to beat even if they concede.
- Kosmos's tendency to concede late goals, especially after the 76th minute, could prove decisive in a match expected to stay close.
- Predicted winner
- Baltika II
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Baltika II or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Baltika II | Kosmos Dolgoprudny |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| Attack | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Defence | 44.0% | 56.0% |
| Poisson | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| H2h | 88.0% | 13.0% |
| Goals | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Baltika II
Recent form: WWWLDLWWWLLWLWDWWWDDWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
Recent form: DDLDLDLLLWLWWWWLWLWWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Kosmos Dolgoprudny 1–2 Baltika II (14 Jun 2026)
- Kosmos Dolgoprudny 1–3 Baltika II (03 Aug 2025)
- Baltika II 3–3 Kosmos Dolgoprudny (14 Apr 2025)


