Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Baden vs Taverne Prediction

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Baden badgeBaden vs Taverne badgeTaverne

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% Taverne split reflects genuine uncertainty, so the double chance correctly hedges rather than backing a clear away winner.
  • Taverne's perfect head-to-head record and superior attack rating support their edge, though two matches is a small sample.
  • Baden's flawless home record of four wins from four directly contradicts their mere 10% win probability, a tension the draw-or-Taverne advice absorbs.
  • Both teams scoring in nearly every match and averaging over 1.4 goals conceded each makes the +1.5 goals component well supported.
  • Taverne's away form is notably weaker than their home form, which tempers confidence in an outright away victory.
  • Baden's strong home scoring and Taverne's leaky away defence suggest the home side can contribute goals, reinforcing the draw possibility.
Predicted winner
Taverne
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : draw or Taverne and +1.5 goals
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
+1.5

Prediction comparison

FactorBadenTaverne
Form47.0%53.0%
Attack40.0%60.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson68.0%32.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals25.0%75.0%
Total45.2%54.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Baden

Recent form: WDWWWLWL.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Taverne

Recent form: LDWLWDWW.

Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Taverne 1–0 Baden (04 Apr 2026)
  2. Baden 1–2 Taverne (20 Sep 2025)
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