Switzerland · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3
Baden vs Taverne Prediction
· Esp Stadium
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% Taverne split reflects genuine uncertainty, so the double chance correctly hedges rather than backing a clear away winner.
- Taverne's perfect head-to-head record and superior attack rating support their edge, though two matches is a small sample.
- Baden's flawless home record of four wins from four directly contradicts their mere 10% win probability, a tension the draw-or-Taverne advice absorbs.
- Both teams scoring in nearly every match and averaging over 1.4 goals conceded each makes the +1.5 goals component well supported.
- Taverne's away form is notably weaker than their home form, which tempers confidence in an outright away victory.
- Baden's strong home scoring and Taverne's leaky away defence suggest the home side can contribute goals, reinforcing the draw possibility.
- Predicted winner
- Taverne
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : draw or Taverne and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Baden | Taverne |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| Attack | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Total | 45.2% | 54.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Baden
Recent form: WDWWWLWL.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Taverne
Recent form: LDWLWDWW.
Average goals scored: 2.60 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Taverne 1–0 Baden (04 Apr 2026)
- Baden 1–2 Taverne (20 Sep 2025)


