Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction

Match prediction

• Lithuania's stronger recent form and attack ratings, plus a superior overall comparison score, justify the model's lean toward them over Azerbaijan.
• The draw and Lithuania each carry 45% probability, so the double-chance advice sensibly hedges the narrow gap between the two outcomes.
• Azerbaijan's low 10% win probability reflects a single draw and no wins in their recent sample, weakening any home-side case.
• Both head-to-head meetings ended level, which supports including the draw rather than backing Lithuania outright.
• Every recent match for both teams stayed under 3.5 goals, aligning with the model's under 3.5 goals selection.
• Lithuania's clean sheet away to Liechtenstein and three-goal win over Andorra show defensive solidity, though the small sample tempers that edge.

Predicted winner

Lithuania

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : draw or Lithuania and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Lithuania 1–1 Azerbaijan (27 Sep 2026)
2. Azerbaijan 0–0 Lithuania (25 Mar 2019)