Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Avance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 50% draw probability matches its home-win probability, so the winner advice carries no margin over the stalemate outcome.
- Avance Ezcabarte's perfect Poisson score and 80% head-to-head edge support the home pick, yet the equal draw probability tempers confidence.
- Cantolagua's 2.80 goals-against average and three losses in four games explain the away side's zero win probability.
- Avance Ezcabarte's modest 1.50 goals-per-game average and two draws in four suggest the home edge may not convert into a clear victory.
- Cantolagua failed to score in three of four matches, reinforcing why the model assigns no away win probability.
- Recent head-to-head results show both teams winning away, a small-sample conflict that qualifies the strong home-favoured history.
- Predicted winner
- Avance Ezcabarte
- Betting advice
- Winner : Avance Ezcabarte
- Home win probability
- 50%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 0%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Avance Ezcabarte | Cantolagua |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63.0% | 38.0% |
| Attack | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Defence | 79.0% | 21.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| Goals | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Total | 72.8% | 27.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Avance Ezcabarte
Recent form: WDDL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Cantolagua
Recent form: LWLL.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Avance Ezcabarte 2–0 Cantolagua (13 Apr 2024)
- Cantolagua 3–2 Avance Ezcabarte (25 Nov 2023)
- Cantolagua 0–2 Avance Ezcabarte (22 Apr 2023)
- Avance Ezcabarte 4–2 Cantolagua (17 Dec 2022)
- Avance Ezcabarte 2–1 Cantolagua (05 Mar 2022)


