Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

Avance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua Prediction

Avance Ezcabarte badgeAvance Ezcabarte vs Cantolagua badgeCantolagua

Match prediction

  • The model's 50% draw probability matches its home-win probability, so the winner advice carries no margin over the stalemate outcome.
  • Avance Ezcabarte's perfect Poisson score and 80% head-to-head edge support the home pick, yet the equal draw probability tempers confidence.
  • Cantolagua's 2.80 goals-against average and three losses in four games explain the away side's zero win probability.
  • Avance Ezcabarte's modest 1.50 goals-per-game average and two draws in four suggest the home edge may not convert into a clear victory.
  • Cantolagua failed to score in three of four matches, reinforcing why the model assigns no away win probability.
  • Recent head-to-head results show both teams winning away, a small-sample conflict that qualifies the strong home-favoured history.
Predicted winner
Avance Ezcabarte
Betting advice
Winner : Avance Ezcabarte
Home win probability
50%
Draw probability
50%
Away win probability
0%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAvance EzcabarteCantolagua
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack75.0%25.0%
Defence79.0%21.0%
Poisson100.0%0.0%
H2h80.0%20.0%
Goals67.0%33.0%
Total72.8%27.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Avance Ezcabarte

Recent form: WDDL.

Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.

Cantolagua

Recent form: LWLL.

Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Avance Ezcabarte 2–0 Cantolagua (13 Apr 2024)
  2. Cantolagua 3–2 Avance Ezcabarte (25 Nov 2023)
  3. Cantolagua 0–2 Avance Ezcabarte (22 Apr 2023)
  4. Avance Ezcabarte 4–2 Cantolagua (17 Dec 2022)
  5. Avance Ezcabarte 2–1 Cantolagua (05 Mar 2022)
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