Avai vs Ceara Prediction
· Ressacada
Match prediction
- Ceara's far stronger recent form and superior attack rating underpin the model's 45% away win probability, though the identical 45% draw share explains the double-chance advice.
- Avai's dismal run of four defeats in five, including heavy away losses, supports the low 10% home win probability despite home advantage at Ressacada.
- The head-to-head record leans heavily toward Ceara, but Avai's home wins in this fixture show the venue can still produce resistance.
- Both teams' goal profiles skew heavily under 2.5, suggesting a tight, low-scoring match that reinforces the draw-or-Ceara double chance.
- Ceara's away form is modest with only two away wins, which qualifies the confidence in an outright away victory and justifies covering the draw.
- Avai's defensive record at home is relatively solid, conceding just one goal per game, making a narrow Ceara win or draw the most plausible outcome.
- Predicted winner
- Ceara
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Ceara
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Avai | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| Attack | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| Defence | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Poisson | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Total | 32.2% | 67.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Avai
Recent form: WWDDLLDDLLLLLWLLWDWLLWWWLLLDLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Ceara
Recent form: DDWWDDLLWLLWDLLLDDLWWLLWLWLDWD.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ceara 2–1 Avai (11 Jun 2026)
- Ceara 2–0 Avai (03 Nov 2024)
- Avai 0–1 Ceara (21 Jul 2024)
- Avai 1–0 Ceara (22 Oct 2023)
- Ceara 0–0 Avai (29 Jun 2023)