Auto Esporte vs Picuiense Prediction
Match prediction
- Auto Esporte's unbeaten five-match form and superior attack underpin the home-or-draw advice, though the 45% draw probability signals the model expects a tight contest.
- Picuiense's three scoreless home defeats and heavy reliance on one away win weaken their case, supporting the double chance rather than a straight home win.
- Both defences concede similarly, but Auto Esporte's clean sheets at home and Picuiense's scoring struggles point toward the low-scoring -3.5 goals line.
- The head-to-head record is mixed across venues, so it adds little beyond confirming Auto Esporte's edge, which the model already reflects in its probabilities.
- Picuiense's goals data shows every match staying under 3.5, reinforcing the under component of the advice despite their occasional away scoring burst.
- Auto Esporte's recent draws against Cruzeiro PB and Spartax show they can be held, explaining why the draw carries equal probability to a home win.
- Predicted winner
- Auto Esporte
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Auto Esporte or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Auto Esporte | Picuiense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73.0% | 27.0% |
| Attack | 75.0% | 25.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 91.0% | 9.0% |
| Total | 72.3% | 27.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Auto Esporte
Recent form: WWDDW.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Picuiense
Recent form: LWDL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Picuiense 1–2 Auto Esporte (09 Feb 2025)
- Auto Esporte 3–0 Picuiense (04 Oct 2024)
- Picuiense 0–1 Auto Esporte (30 Sep 2024)
- Picuiense 0–4 Auto Esporte (29 Aug 2024)