Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4

Aurrerá Vitoria vs Erandio Prediction

Aurrerá Vitoria badgeAurrerá Vitoria vs Erandio badgeErandio

Match prediction

  • Aurrerá Vitoria's unbeaten four-match form and superior attack and defence ratings justify favouring them, though the model's 45% draw probability explains the cautious double-chance advice.
  • Erandio's alternating win-loss pattern and two defeats in four suggest inconsistency, supporting the home side's edge while their two clean sheets warn against backing a straight win.
  • The near-even 45-45 split between home win and draw, with Erandio at just 10%, directly underpins the double-chance recommendation rather than a single-outcome bet.
  • Aurrerá's perfect scoring record across four matches contrasts with Erandio's blank against R. Union B, strengthening the case for the home side avoiding defeat.
  • Erandio's away form is polarised, winning both away games without conceding or losing heavily, which introduces volatility the draw-inclusive advice absorbs.
  • The absence of head-to-head history means the prediction rests on current form and Poisson ratings, where Aurrerá's 57% share modestly favours them over Erandio's 43%.
Predicted winner
Aurrerá Vitoria
Betting advice
Double chance : Aurrerá Vitoria or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAurrerá VitoriaErandio
Form63.0%38.0%
Attack62.0%38.0%
Defence57.0%43.0%
Poisson57.0%43.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total59.8%40.5%

Team form and goal analysis

Aurrerá Vitoria

Recent form: WDWW.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Erandio

Recent form: WLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.30 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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