Atlético Tembetary vs Tacuary Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% Tacuary split justifies the double-chance advice, since Atlético Tembetary's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
• Tacuary's 12 draws in 26 matches, including four straight at one point, reinforce the draw half of the advice as a genuine outcome rather than a hedge.
• Tacuary's superior form and head-to-head edge support their side of the double chance, though the 80% H2H figure rests on only two meetings.
• Atlético Tembetary's better attack and Poisson ratings conflict with their weak home win record, explaining why the model still caps their win probability at 10%.
• Both teams average 1.50 goals conceded and rarely exceed 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight, low-scoring match consistent with the draw-or-away advice.
• Tacuary's tendency to concede late and Atlético Tembetary's strong 46-60 scoring window add variance that the double chance absorbs better than a straight away pick.

Predicted winner

Tacuary

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Tacuary

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Tacuary 4–2 Atlético Tembetary (27 Jun 2026)
2. Atlético Tembetary 1–1 Tacuary (04 Nov 2021)