Atlético Pueblonuevo vs Puebla Calzada Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% away win and 45% draw probabilities justify the double-chance advice, since Atlético Pueblonuevo's 10% win probability is the clear outlier.
• Puebla Calzada's superior form, attack, and defence ratings align with the prediction, though the modest gaps suggest the edge is real but not overwhelming.
• Atlético Pueblonuevo's four away matches produced two draws and two losses, supporting the draw component of the double chance despite their poor overall form.
• Puebla Calzada's two clean sheets and 2.00 goals-per-game average contrast with Pueblonuevo's 2.50 goals conceded per game, reinforcing the away-side lean.
• The head-to-head record favours Pueblonuevo 75%, a genuine counterweight that explains why the model caps Puebla Calzada at 45% rather than a stronger win probability.
• Both teams' recent matches show low-to-moderate scoring, so the draw half of the double chance remains a meaningful hedge against the head-to-head trend.

Predicted winner

Puebla Calzada

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Puebla Calzada

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Puebla Calzada 3–1 Atlético Pueblonuevo (19 Apr 2026)
2. Atlético Pueblonuevo 2–0 Puebla Calzada (14 Dec 2025)
3. Atlético Pueblonuevo 1–0 Puebla Calzada (06 Apr 2025)
4. Puebla Calzada 0–1 Atlético Pueblonuevo (24 Nov 2024)