Pernambucano - U20 · Brazil
Atletico PE U20 vs Ipojuca U20 Prediction
Match prediction
The existing model leans toward Ipojuca U20, giving them a 45% away win probability against 45% for a draw and only 10% for an Atletico PE U20 home win, with the advice combining an Ipojuca win with over 1.5 goals. That split between away win and draw is notable, since the probabilities treat the two outcomes as equally likely even though the stated advice commits to the away side. The comparison metrics reinforce the same lean, with Ipojuca holding a large form advantage (85.00 versus 15.00), a defensive edge (95.00 versus 5.00), and a Poisson estimate of 78.00 against 22.00, while the attack gap is narrower at 55.00 versus 45.00. The head-to-head, goals, and total comparison fields are all populated at 0.00 for both sides, and the head-to-head record itself is empty, so no direct meeting evidence is available to support or contradict the model. Atletico PE U20's seven-match record of no wins, three draws, and four losses, including a 0-8 home defeat and a 6-0 away loss, helps explain their very low defensive rating and the 3.70 goals-against average they carry. Ipojuca's contrasting seven-match record of three wins, three draws, and one loss, with four clean sheets and a 1.30 goals-against average, supports the defensive gap and makes the away side's profile look more stable. The last-five records sharpen that contrast: Atletico have two draws and three losses with 5 goals scored and 19 conceded, while Ipojuca have three wins and two goalless draws with 6 scored and only 1 conceded. Ipojuca's recent scoring is modest, though, with four of their last five matches producing under 1.5 goals, which qualifies the over 1.5 goals component of the advice even as their defensive form supports the win side. Atletico's goal data show they have scored in only four of seven matches and conceded in all seven, so the case for at least a couple of goals rests more on their defensive leakage than on their own attacking output. Overall, the evidence points consistently toward Ipojuca and away from an Atletico win, but the 45% draw probability and Ipojuca's low-scoring recent matches mean the combined advice carries real uncertainty rather than a clear edge.
- Predicted winner
- Ipojuca U20
- Betting advice
- Combo Winner : Ipojuca U20 and +1.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- +1.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Atletico PE U20 | Ipojuca U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 15.0% | 85.0% |
| Attack | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Defence | 5.0% | 95.0% |
| Poisson | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 21.8% | 78.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Atletico PE U20
Recent form: DLDDLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Ipojuca U20
Recent form: DLDWDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


