Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Atlético Paso vs Real Madrid III Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split, with home and draw each at 35%, frames the double-chance advice as a hedge rather than a confident home call.
- Atlético Paso's attack rating of 100 against Real Madrid III's 0 suggests the home side carries the greater scoring threat despite identical form.
- Real Madrid III's defence rating of 71 versus Atlético Paso's 29 indicates the visitors are the more resistant unit, qualifying any expectation of a comfortable home win.
- Both sides have failed to score in three of their matches, and neither has exceeded 2.5 goals in any game, supporting the under 3.5 goals component.
- Atlético Paso's two home defeats without scoring expose a venue weakness that tempers the home-double-chance advice.
- Two prior head-to-head meetings both ended level, reinforcing the draw's substantial 35% probability within the recommended double chance.
- Predicted winner
- Atlético Paso
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Atlético Paso or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Atlético Paso | Real Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Attack | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| Defence | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Poisson | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Atlético Paso
Recent form: LDLD.
Average goals scored: 0.50 per match.
Real Madrid III
Recent form: DDL.
Average goals scored: 0.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Real Madrid III 1–1 Atlético Paso (16 Feb 2025)
- Atlético Paso 0–0 Real Madrid III (06 Oct 2024)