Canada · Canadian Premier League
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC Prediction
· TD Place Stadium
Match prediction
- Cavalry's 50% win probability and 50% draw probability leave no room for a home win, directly supporting the draw-or-Cavalry double chance.
- Cavalry's 65 form score and 80 attack rating dwarf Ottawa's 35 and 20, explaining why the model excludes a home victory entirely.
- Cavalry's 0.60 goals-against average and 10 clean sheets reflect a defensive solidity that Ottawa's 1.60 conceded average cannot match.
- Ottawa's 2.00 away goals-against average and seven away defeats expose the vulnerability underpinning the zero home-win probability.
- Cavalry's recent 6-0 win and four victories in five contrast with Ottawa's two losses and scoreless outings, reinforcing the away-favoured advice.
- Head-to-head is mixed with Ottawa winning home meetings, so the draw component of the double chance hedges against that venue-specific threat.
- Predicted winner
- Cavalry FC
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Cavalry FC
- Home win probability
- 0%
- Draw probability
- 50%
- Away win probability
- 50%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Atlético Ottawa | Cavalry FC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| Attack | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| Defence | 25.0% | 75.0% |
| Poisson | 28.0% | 72.0% |
| H2h | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Goals | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| Total | 31.5% | 68.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Atlético Ottawa
Recent form: LLWDLWWDLWWLDWLWWWLWDLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Cavalry FC
Recent form: WWDDWWWLWWWDLWWDWWWWWDW.
Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Cavalry FC 3–1 Atlético Ottawa (22 Aug 2026)
- Atlético Ottawa 0–3 Cavalry FC (04 Jul 2026)
- Cavalry FC 3–1 Atlético Ottawa (12 Apr 2026)
- Atlético Ottawa 2–1 Cavalry FC (09 Nov 2025)
- Atlético Ottawa 3–0 Cavalry FC (27 Sep 2025)