Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
Atlético Mineros vs Sámano Prediction
Match prediction
- Sámano's perfect head-to-head record and superior attack rating justify the model's lean toward the away side despite Atlético Mineros holding a slight form edge.
- The near-even 45/45 split between away win and draw explains why double chance rather than a straight Sámano victory is the advised position.
- Sámano's unbeaten scoring record contrasts with Mineros failing to score in half their matches, supporting the away side's stronger attacking case.
- Mineros' heavy 4-0 defeat at Revilla exposes defensive fragility that Sámano's more consistent goal output could exploit.
- Sámano's tendency to draw, including two stalemates in four games, keeps the draw component of the double chance genuinely live.
- The modest four-match samples and Mineros' better recent form temper confidence, so the draw-or-Sámano advice remains the safer expression.
- Predicted winner
- Sámano
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Sámano
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Atlético Mineros | Sámano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Attack | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 100.0% |
| Goals | 7.0% | 93.0% |
| Total | 38.6% | 61.4% |
Team form and goal analysis
Atlético Mineros
Recent form: WLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Sámano
Recent form: DLWD.
Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Sámano 3–0 Atlético Mineros (01 Feb 2025)
- Atlético Mineros 0–3 Sámano (21 Sep 2024)
- Sámano 3–0 Atlético Mineros (20 Apr 2024)
- Atlético Mineros 1–4 Sámano (02 Dec 2023)


