Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

Atlético Mineros vs Sámano Prediction

Atlético Mineros badgeAtlético Mineros vs Sámano badgeSámano

Match prediction

  • Sámano's perfect head-to-head record and superior attack rating justify the model's lean toward the away side despite Atlético Mineros holding a slight form edge.
  • The near-even 45/45 split between away win and draw explains why double chance rather than a straight Sámano victory is the advised position.
  • Sámano's unbeaten scoring record contrasts with Mineros failing to score in half their matches, supporting the away side's stronger attacking case.
  • Mineros' heavy 4-0 defeat at Revilla exposes defensive fragility that Sámano's more consistent goal output could exploit.
  • Sámano's tendency to draw, including two stalemates in four games, keeps the draw component of the double chance genuinely live.
  • The modest four-match samples and Mineros' better recent form temper confidence, so the draw-or-Sámano advice remains the safer expression.
Predicted winner
Sámano
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Sámano
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAtlético MinerosSámano
Form55.0%45.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson52.0%48.0%
H2h0.0%100.0%
Goals7.0%93.0%
Total38.6%61.4%

Team form and goal analysis

Atlético Mineros

Recent form: WLLW.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Sámano

Recent form: DLWD.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Sámano 3–0 Atlético Mineros (01 Feb 2025)
  2. Atlético Mineros 0–3 Sámano (21 Sep 2024)
  3. Sámano 3–0 Atlético Mineros (20 Apr 2024)
  4. Atlético Mineros 1–4 Sámano (02 Dec 2023)
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