Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Atlético Mansillés vs Guijuelo Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% home and 45% draw probabilities justify a double-chance stance while conceding Guijuelo's 10% win share remains live.
- Mansilles' unbeaten four-match form and two clean sheets contrast sharply with Guijuelo's three defeats, supporting the home-or-draw advice.
- Guijuelo failed to score in two of four outings, weakening their attacking case and reinforcing the low-scoring under 3.5 goals expectation.
- Both head-to-head meetings were decided by a single goal, suggesting a tight margin that favours the draw component of the double chance.
- Every Mansilles and Guijuelo match this season stayed under 3.5 goals, directly supporting the -3.5 goals leg of the combo.
- Guijuelo's defensive record is notably weaker than Mansilles', so the home side's edge in defence underpins the cautious rather than emphatic prediction.
- Predicted winner
- Atlético Mansillés
- Betting advice
- Combo Double chance : Atlético Mansillés or draw and -3.5 goals
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- -3.5
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Atlético Mansillés | Guijuelo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| Attack | 60.0% | 40.0% |
| Defence | 71.0% | 29.0% |
| Poisson | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 61.8% | 38.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Atlético Mansillés
Recent form: WDWW.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Guijuelo
Recent form: LWLL.
Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Atlético Mansillés 2–1 Guijuelo (18 Jan 2026)
- Guijuelo 1–0 Atlético Mansillés (07 Sep 2025)


