Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta Prediction
· Estadio Nuevo Monumental
Match prediction
- The model's 35% home and 35% draw probabilities justify double chance rather than a straight win, since neither outcome is clearly favoured.
- Rafaela's attack rating of 64 against Atlanta's defence of 89 suggests the hosts can create chances despite Atlanta's stronger recent form.
- Rafaela's 10 home wins and 10 home clean sheets in 15 matches materially support the home-or-draw advice at Estadio Nuevo Monumental.
- Atlanta's superior form score of 63 and four wins in five away matches qualify the advice by showing the visitors can avoid defeat.
- Head-to-head is perfectly split at 50-50, and the last five meetings produced either home wins or draws, reinforcing the double chance.
- Rafaela's low 0.80 goals-per-game average and Atlanta's tendency to fail scoring away point toward a tight, low-scoring contest.
- Predicted winner
- Atletico DE Rafaela
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Atletico DE Rafaela or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Atletico DE Rafaela | Atlanta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38.0% | 63.0% |
| Attack | 64.0% | 36.0% |
| Defence | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| Poisson | 63.0% | 37.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 43.0% | 57.0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Atletico DE Rafaela
Recent form: DLWWWDLDWDLWLWLWDDLLLWDWDDWLLWL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Atlanta
Recent form: WLDWLLLWWWWDWWDWWLLWLLWLWLLWWDW.
Average goals scored: 1.10 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Atlanta 2–0 Atletico DE Rafaela (16 May 2026)
- Atletico DE Rafaela 2–0 Atlanta (06 Oct 2024)
- Atlanta 2–0 Atletico DE Rafaela (19 May 2024)
- Atletico DE Rafaela 1–0 Atlanta (26 Jun 2023)
- Atlanta 0–0 Atletico DE Rafaela (21 Feb 2023)