Atlético Baleares vs Poblense Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's 45% draw and 45% Poblense split makes the double chance the coherent expression of its output, since the away win alone carries no more confidence than the stalemate.
• Atlético Baleares' 10% win probability is reinforced by a winless four-match record with two draws and two defeats, so the home side is not a credible outright pick.
• Poblense's superior form and head-to-head edge support the away side's inclusion, though three defeats in four games show that support is far from commanding.
• Atlético Baleares' attack rating exceeds Poblense's while their defence rating lags, a conflict that helps explain why the model spreads probability almost evenly rather than favouring one side.
• Both teams' low scoring totals and Poblense's failure to score in both away matches point toward a tight, low-goal contest consistent with the draw leg of the advice.
• The recent head-to-head record is mixed, with Poblense winning the latest friendly but Atlético Baleares winning the last competitive meeting at this venue, which tempers any strong away lean.

Predicted winner

Poblense

Betting advice

Double chance : draw or Poblense

Home win probability

10%

Draw probability

45%

Away win probability

45%

Goals market

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Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

1. Poblense 1–0 Atlético Baleares (14 Aug 2026)
2. Poblense 0–0 Atlético Baleares (22 Feb 2026)
3. Atlético Baleares 2–1 Poblense (23 Nov 2025)
4. Poblense 1–1 Atlético Baleares (14 Mar 2021)
5. Atlético Baleares 2–3 Poblense (13 Dec 2020)