Atlético Astorga vs Amorebieta Prediction

Match prediction

• The model's near-even three-way split, with home and draw each at 35%, makes the double-chance advice the logical expression of a genuinely balanced fixture.
• Atlético Astorga's superior attack and defensive ratings, plus a stronger Poisson share, justify favouring them within that double chance despite Amorebieta's better recent form.
• Amorebieta's away record is actually their stronger side, with their only win and clean sheet coming on the road, which tempers any assumption of home dominance.
• Both teams have stayed under 3.5 goals in every match this season, directly supporting the -3.5 goals component of the advice.
• The absence of head-to-head history means the prediction rests entirely on current-season form and goal data, so the probabilities carry wider uncertainty than usual.
• Atlético Astorga's home form is polarised, one 3-0 win against two home defeats, so the draw half of the double chance absorbs real risk.

Predicted winner

Atlético Astorga

Betting advice

Combo Double chance : Atlético Astorga or draw and -3.5 goals

Home win probability

35%

Draw probability

35%

Away win probability

30%

Goals market

-3.5

Prediction comparison

Team form and goal analysis

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.