Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

Atlètic Lleida vs Pobla Mafumet Prediction

Atlètic Lleida badgeAtlètic Lleida vs Pobla Mafumet badgePobla Mafumet

Match prediction

  • The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of its uncertainty rather than a confident away win.
  • Pobla Mafumet's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings support their edge, though the model still refuses to separate them from a draw.
  • Atlètic Lleida's away record is the clear weakness, with two defeats and no goals scored on the road.
  • Lleida's home resilience, including a win and clean sheet, explains why the model assigns a meaningful draw probability rather than backing Pobla outright.
  • Pobla's tendency to concede in every match and Lleida's low scoring suggest a tight, low-margin contest consistent with the draw-or-away advice.
  • The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests on current form and goal metrics, which favour Pobla but not decisively.
Predicted winner
Pobla Mafumet
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Pobla Mafumet
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorAtlètic LleidaPobla Mafumet
Form40.0%60.0%
Attack30.0%70.0%
Defence46.0%54.0%
Poisson41.0%59.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total39.3%60.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Atlètic Lleida

Recent form: DLWL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Pobla Mafumet

Recent form: LWWL.

Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

Loading interactive prediction…