Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Atlètic Lleida vs Pobla Mafumet Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's 45% draw and 45% away split makes double chance the logical expression of its uncertainty rather than a confident away win.
- Pobla Mafumet's superior form, attack, and Poisson ratings support their edge, though the model still refuses to separate them from a draw.
- Atlètic Lleida's away record is the clear weakness, with two defeats and no goals scored on the road.
- Lleida's home resilience, including a win and clean sheet, explains why the model assigns a meaningful draw probability rather than backing Pobla outright.
- Pobla's tendency to concede in every match and Lleida's low scoring suggest a tight, low-margin contest consistent with the draw-or-away advice.
- The absence of head-to-head data means the prediction rests on current form and goal metrics, which favour Pobla but not decisively.
- Predicted winner
- Pobla Mafumet
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Pobla Mafumet
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Atlètic Lleida | Pobla Mafumet |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Attack | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| Defence | 46.0% | 54.0% |
| Poisson | 41.0% | 59.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 39.3% | 60.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
Atlètic Lleida
Recent form: DLWL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Pobla Mafumet
Recent form: LWWL.
Average goals scored: 1.80 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


