Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor

Atlántico vs Jarabacoa Prediction

Atlántico badgeAtlántico vs Jarabacoa badgeJarabacoa

Match prediction

  • Both teams' identical 0.00 form ratings and seven losses each in eight games explain why the model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent.
  • Atlántico's attack rating of 83 against Jarabacoa's 17 supports the home side's edge, though Atlántico's own 39 defence rating against 61 tempers that advantage.
  • The Poisson split of 70 to 30 and head-to-head 62 to 38 both lean Atlántico, reinforcing the double chance rather than a straight win.
  • Jarabacoa's away scoring average of 0.30 and six failed-to-score games in eight make an away win at 10 percent the least plausible outcome.
  • Atlántico's 3.30 goals-against average and recent 1-6 and 0-5 defeats show the defence is fragile enough to keep the draw probability elevated.
  • The most recent head-to-head, a 2-0 Jarabacoa home win, is the lone counterweight to Atlántico's overall 62 percent head-to-head edge.
Predicted winner
Atlántico
Betting advice
Double chance : Atlántico or draw
Home win probability
45%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
10%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorAtlánticoJarabacoa
Form0.0%0.0%
Attack83.0%17.0%
Defence39.0%61.0%
Poisson70.0%30.0%
H2h62.0%38.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total60.8%39.2%

Team form and goal analysis

Atlántico

Recent form: DLLLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Jarabacoa

Recent form: LWLLLLLL.

Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Jarabacoa 2–0 Atlántico (25 Aug 2026)
  2. Atlántico 1–1 Jarabacoa (17 Dec 2025)
  3. Jarabacoa 2–2 Atlántico (04 Oct 2025)
  4. Jarabacoa 0–1 Atlántico (12 Apr 2025)
  5. Atlántico 2–1 Jarabacoa (25 Jun 2023)
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