Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor
Atlántico vs Jarabacoa Prediction
Match prediction
- Both teams' identical 0.00 form ratings and seven losses each in eight games explain why the model splits home and draw evenly at 45 percent.
- Atlántico's attack rating of 83 against Jarabacoa's 17 supports the home side's edge, though Atlántico's own 39 defence rating against 61 tempers that advantage.
- The Poisson split of 70 to 30 and head-to-head 62 to 38 both lean Atlántico, reinforcing the double chance rather than a straight win.
- Jarabacoa's away scoring average of 0.30 and six failed-to-score games in eight make an away win at 10 percent the least plausible outcome.
- Atlántico's 3.30 goals-against average and recent 1-6 and 0-5 defeats show the defence is fragile enough to keep the draw probability elevated.
- The most recent head-to-head, a 2-0 Jarabacoa home win, is the lone counterweight to Atlántico's overall 62 percent head-to-head edge.
- Predicted winner
- Atlántico
- Betting advice
- Double chance : Atlántico or draw
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Atlántico | Jarabacoa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Attack | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Defence | 39.0% | 61.0% |
| Poisson | 70.0% | 30.0% |
| H2h | 62.0% | 38.0% |
| Goals | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Total | 60.8% | 39.2% |
Team form and goal analysis
Atlántico
Recent form: DLLLLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Jarabacoa
Recent form: LWLLLLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Jarabacoa 2–0 Atlántico (25 Aug 2026)
- Atlántico 1–1 Jarabacoa (17 Dec 2025)
- Jarabacoa 2–2 Atlántico (04 Oct 2025)
- Jarabacoa 0–1 Atlántico (12 Apr 2025)
- Atlántico 2–1 Jarabacoa (25 Jun 2023)


