Mexico · Liga MX Femenil

Atlante W vs Pumas UNAM W Prediction

· Estadio Banorte

Atlante W badgeAtlante W vs Pumas UNAM W badgePumas UNAM W

Match prediction

  • The model's existing output favours Pumas UNAM W only through a double-chance lens: away win and draw are each rated 45.0%, leaving Atlante W at just 10.0%, so the advice of 'draw or Pumas UNAM W' reflects a combined 90% probability rather than a clear single-winner edge.
  • The comparison metrics broadly reinforce that lean, with Pumas ahead on form (75.00 vs 25.00), attack (80.00 vs 20.00), Poisson (58.00 vs 42.00) and total (67.00 vs 33.00), while defence is the closest category (55.00 vs 45.00) and the h2h and goals columns are both 0.00, meaning those two dimensions contribute no separating signal.
  • Atlante W's team profile is the weakest part of the case for the home side: an 8-game record of 2 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, a six-match losing streak within the sequence, and a 0-4 away record, although their 2-2 home split and one home clean sheet suggest the venue offers some resistance.
  • Pumas UNAM W's 4-4-0 record is more balanced but not dominant, with 2 home and 2 away wins, a 5-0 home win and a 0-2 away win offset by a 2-5 home loss and a 3-1 away loss; their 3 clean sheets and zero failed-to-score games point to a more reliable attacking floor than Atlante's.
  • The goals analysis adds nuance to the double-chance advice: Pumas average 2.10 goals for and 1.80 against, while Atlante average only 0.80 for and 1.50 against, so Pumas' greater scoring volume supports their side of the draw-or-away bet, but Atlante's low scoring and Pumas' 1.80 goals-against average leave room for the draw half of the advice.
  • The last-five records show both teams arriving with mixed recent form rather than a clear run: Atlante have one win and four defeats (2-1 vs Querétaro W, then 0-1, 0-1, 0-1 and 1-2 losses), while Pumas have three wins and two defeats (2-0 vs Puebla W, 2-3 at Cruz Azul W, 1-2 vs América W, 2-0 at Guadalajara W, 5-0 vs Querétaro W), and with the head-to-head section empty there is no direct historical result to confirm or contradict the model's 45-45-10 split.
Predicted winner
Pumas UNAM W
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Pumas UNAM W
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
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Prediction comparison

FactorAtlante WPumas UNAM W
Form25.0%75.0%
Attack20.0%80.0%
Defence45.0%55.0%
Poisson42.0%58.0%
H2h0.0%0.0%
Goals0.0%0.0%
Total33.0%67.0%

Team form and goal analysis

Atlante W

Recent form: WLLLLLLW.

Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.

Pumas UNAM W

Recent form: LWLWWLLW.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

No recorded head-to-head matches are available.

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