Ireland · First Division

Athlone Town vs Cork City Prediction

· Athlone Town Stadium

Athlone Town badgeAthlone Town vs Cork City badgeCork City

Match prediction

  • Cork City's 45% win probability equals the draw's, so the draw-or-Cork advice sensibly hedges a match the model cannot separate.
  • Athlone's stronger recent form score conflicts with Cork's superior season record, suggesting their home advantage may be overstated.
  • Cork's 22 wins and only six defeats across 33 games underpin their edge, though Athlone's home record of just two losses complicates that.
  • Athlone score only 1.2 goals per game while Cork concede one, so the home side's attacking ceiling looks limited.
  • Cork's 71% head-to-head score and recent 3-2 win over Athlone reinforce their superiority, but away defeats show vulnerability.
  • Athlone's attack and defence ratings sit near Cork's, explaining why the model assigns the draw equal weight to a Cork win.
Predicted winner
Cork City
Betting advice
Double chance : draw or Cork City
Home win probability
10%
Draw probability
45%
Away win probability
45%
Goals market
—

Prediction comparison

FactorAthlone TownCork City
Form61.0%39.0%
Attack50.0%50.0%
Defence54.0%46.0%
Poisson38.0%62.0%
H2h29.0%71.0%
Goals39.0%61.0%
Total45.2%54.8%

Team form and goal analysis

Athlone Town

Recent form: WWDLWLLLWLWWDDDLLLLDDLWLDLWWWWDWD.

Average goals scored: 1.20 per match.

Cork City

Recent form: WWWDWWWDWWDLLWWWWWWWWWLLWWWDWDLWL.

Average goals scored: 2.10 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Cork City 3–2 Athlone Town (03 Aug 2026)
  2. Athlone Town 0–3 Cork City (22 May 2026)
  3. Cork City 4–1 Athlone Town (27 Mar 2026)
  4. Athlone Town 4–1 Cork City (11 Oct 2024)
  5. Cork City 0–0 Athlone Town (09 Aug 2024)
Loading interactive prediction…