Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Athletic Club II vs Extremadura 1924 Prediction
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Match prediction
- Athletic Club II's unbeaten five-match form and superior attack rating justify the home win advice, though the 45% draw probability signals real uncertainty.
- Extremadura's four defeats in five, with three scoreless losses, sharply undercut their chances despite the model assigning them only a 10% win probability.
- Both defences rate identically at 50, so the edge rests on Athletic's attack and form rather than any clear defensive superiority.
- Extremadura's two total goals and three failed-to-score matches suggest a low-scoring away threat, supporting the draw risk over a comfortable home margin.
- The absence of head-to-head history means the prediction leans entirely on current form and Poisson estimates, which favour Athletic but lack direct matchup validation.
- Athletic's goals cluster in the 31-60 minute range, hinting they may need time to break down an Extremadura side that concedes late.
- Predicted winner
- Athletic Club II
- Betting advice
- Winner : Athletic Club II
- Home win probability
- 45%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 10%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Athletic Club II | Extremadura 1924 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 79.0% | 21.0% |
| Attack | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| Defence | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Poisson | 77.0% | 23.0% |
| H2h | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Goals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Total | 72.8% | 27.3% |
Team form and goal analysis
Athletic Club II
Recent form: DWWDW.
Average goals scored: 2.20 per match.
Extremadura 1924
Recent form: LWLLL.
Average goals scored: 0.40 per match.
Head-to-head record
No recorded head-to-head matches are available.


