Germany · Oberliga - Bayern Nord
ASV Neumarkt vs Ingolstadt II Prediction
Match prediction
- The model's near-even split between home win and draw, with the away side slightly behind, supports a double-chance approach rather than backing a single outcome.
- Neumarkt's stronger recent form and defensive edge over Ingolstadt II justify leaning toward the home side despite their poor home win record.
- Ingolstadt II's superior Poisson and goals metrics conflict with Neumarkt's form advantage, explaining why the model avoids a straight home-win prediction.
- Both teams' low scoring averages and frequent failures to score suggest a tight, low-scoring match where the draw carries genuine weight.
- Head-to-head results are perfectly balanced across six meetings, reinforcing the caution behind covering both the home win and the draw.
- Neumarkt's zero home wins in six attempts is a real weakness, so the draw component of the advice is essential rather than merely protective.
- Predicted winner
- ASV Neumarkt
- Betting advice
- Double chance : ASV Neumarkt or draw
- Home win probability
- 35%
- Draw probability
- 35%
- Away win probability
- 30%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | ASV Neumarkt | Ingolstadt II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67.0% | 33.0% |
| Attack | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Defence | 56.0% | 44.0% |
| Poisson | 36.0% | 64.0% |
| H2h | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Goals | 42.0% | 58.0% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Team form and goal analysis
ASV Neumarkt
Recent form: LLLDDLLLLWLD.
Average goals scored: 0.80 per match.
Ingolstadt II
Recent form: DLWLLDWLLDDL.
Average goals scored: 1.50 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Ingolstadt II 6–2 ASV Neumarkt (15 Nov 2025)
- ASV Neumarkt 2–1 Ingolstadt II (12 Aug 2025)
- ASV Neumarkt 0–2 Ingolstadt II (22 Mar 2025)
- Ingolstadt II 0–2 ASV Neumarkt (01 Sep 2024)
- ASV Neumarkt 2–2 Ingolstadt II (04 May 2024)