Sweden · Division 2 - Västra Götaland
Astrio vs Västra Frölunda Prediction
Match prediction
- Västra Frölunda's superior form, attack, defence and Poisson ratings justify favouring them, though Astrio's home advantage explains why the model still assigns the hosts a small chance.
- The draw and away probabilities are identical at 45%, so the double chance advice correctly hedges rather than committing to an outright winner.
- Astrio's 18 defeats in 23 matches and a twelve-game losing streak make their 10% win probability plausible despite playing at home.
- Västra Frölunda's away record is far weaker than their home form, with six away losses, which supports including the draw in the advice.
- Head-to-head results are high-scoring and historically favour the away side, but Astrio have won home meetings before, so past dominance is not decisive.
- Both teams concede regularly, and Astrio's defensive record is notably poor, reinforcing that the visitors should avoid defeat rather than dominate.
- Predicted winner
- Västra Frölunda
- Betting advice
- Double chance : draw or Västra Frölunda
- Home win probability
- 10%
- Draw probability
- 45%
- Away win probability
- 45%
- Goals market
- —
Prediction comparison
| Factor | Astrio | Västra Frölunda |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33.0% | 67.0% |
| Attack | 59.0% | 41.0% |
| Defence | 38.0% | 62.0% |
| Poisson | 27.0% | 73.0% |
| H2h | 29.0% | 71.0% |
| Goals | 45.0% | 55.0% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Team form and goal analysis
Astrio
Recent form: LDLDLLLWLDLLLLLLLLLLLLW.
Average goals scored: 0.90 per match.
Västra Frölunda
Recent form: DDWWLWWWWDLDDWLDLWLWLLW.
Average goals scored: 1.90 per match.
Head-to-head record
- Västra Frölunda 5–3 Astrio (09 May 2026)
- Västra Frölunda 5–1 Astrio (27 Sep 2025)
- Astrio 1–1 Västra Frölunda (06 Jun 2025)
- Astrio 5–1 Västra Frölunda (06 Oct 2024)
- Västra Frölunda 4–3 Astrio (20 Jun 2024)


