Benin · Championnat National

ASPAC vs Djeffa Prediction

ASPAC badgeASPAC vs Djeffa badgeDjeffa

Match prediction

  • The model's near-even split between ASPAC and draw, with Djeffa only slightly behind, supports a double-chance rather than outright home confidence.
  • ASPAC's perfect defensive record and Djeffa's clean sheet both point toward a low-scoring match, reinforcing the under 3.5 goals advice.
  • Djeffa's attack rating far exceeds ASPAC's, but that edge rests on a single match, so it should not overturn the cautious double-chance stance.
  • Both head-to-head meetings ended level, which strengthens the draw component of the double chance despite ASPAC's nominal home advantage.
  • ASPAC's recent form includes heavy defeats and wins, showing inconsistency that justifies avoiding a straight home-win prediction.
  • Djeffa's last five matches are over two years old, so their form data is stale and should be weighted lightly in the model's output.
Predicted winner
ASPAC
Betting advice
Combo Double chance : ASPAC or draw and -3.5 goals
Home win probability
35%
Draw probability
35%
Away win probability
30%
Goals market
-3.5

Prediction comparison

FactorASPACDjeffa
Form50.0%50.0%
Attack33.0%67.0%
Defence100.0%0.0%
Poisson0.0%0.0%
H2h50.0%50.0%
Goals50.0%50.0%
Total45.8%54.3%

Team form and goal analysis

ASPAC

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 1.00 per match.

Djeffa

Recent form: W.

Average goals scored: 2.00 per match.

Head-to-head record

  1. Djeffa 0–0 ASPAC (09 Jun 2021)
  2. ASPAC 1–1 Djeffa (09 May 2021)
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